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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.54+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.06+2.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.51-1.50vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-2.02+5.44vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.86+1.39vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-2.05+3.65vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.66-1.38vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.82-1.75vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.73-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.84-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-1.23vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-2.07-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-3.42-0.88vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-3.93-0.74vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-3.56-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29North Carolina State University1.540.4%1st Place
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3.99University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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2.5Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
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10.44Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.65Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.62Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.25Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.73Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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10.83The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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14.12University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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15.26SUNY Stony Brook-3.930.0%1st Place
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14.55William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 35.1% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 11.9% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 30.0% | 27.7% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| John TIS | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Megan Miller | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Rebekah Rothleder | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 22.2% | 43.1% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 24.9% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.