← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.51+1.41vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.54+1.96vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.54-0.58vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology-2.02+6.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-0.86+2.15vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia0.06-0.91vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University-0.82+0.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+3.64vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University-2.05+1.78vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University-0.66-3.32vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-1.84-0.86vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.46vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel-2.07-2.25vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-1.73-4.16vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary-3.56-0.56vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-3.42-1.75vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-3.93-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.41Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
-
3.96University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
-
2.42North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
-
10.55Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
-
7.15University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.09University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
-
7.14Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.64University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.78Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.68Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
-
10.75The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.84Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
14.44William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
-
14.25University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
-
15.24SUNY Stony Brook-3.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 32.4% | 27.1% | 20.6% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 10.6% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 32.7% | 27.6% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Ian Knox | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 24.5% | 26.5% |
| Megan Miller | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 21.8% | 21.7% |
| Rebekah Rothleder | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.