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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.54+2.12vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.53vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.82+3.43vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.06+0.18vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-2.02+4.69vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.86+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+2.50vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.66-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+1.78vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.97vs Predicted
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12Indiana University-2.05-1.26vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.73-4.25vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-2.31-3.67vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-3.42-2.05vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-3.56-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
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4.12University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
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2.47North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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7.43Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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10.69Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.84Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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7.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.74Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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9.75Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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13.95University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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14.22William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 30.9% | 27.7% | 19.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 12.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 32.8% | 25.9% | 19.5% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 6.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Megan Miller | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 35.9% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 22.0% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.