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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.54+2.12vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.06+1.29vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.66+1.99vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.73+4.12vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.86+0.58vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-2.02+2.71vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.84vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-2.07+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+0.91vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-0.30vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.82-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-2.31-2.46vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-3.56-0.58vs Predicted
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16Indiana University-2.05-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
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4.12University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
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2.51North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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6.99Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.12Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.71Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.04The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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11.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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7.36Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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14.42William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
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11.04Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 32.1% | 26.8% | 18.9% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 31.8% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Oliver Fenner | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| John TIS | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.1% |
| William Avery | 2.9% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 54.3% |
| Ian Knox | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.