← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.51+1.43vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.54+0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.54+1.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia0.06+1.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-0.86+2.56vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-1.73+4.13vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University-0.66+0.04vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.96vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-2.07+1.96vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University-0.82-2.52vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32+0.59vs Predicted
-
12University of Maryland-2.31-0.33vs Predicted
-
13Indiana University-2.05-2.08vs Predicted
-
14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.06vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary-3.56-0.56vs Predicted
-
16Florida Institute of Technology-2.02-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.43Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
-
2.5North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
-
4.13University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
-
7.56University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.13Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.04Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
-
7.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.96The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.48Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
-
11.67University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.92Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
-
14.44William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
-
10.94Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 33.4% | 25.4% | 20.7% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 32.0% | 26.4% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| William Avery | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 7.4% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 8.2% |
| Ian Knox | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| John TIS | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 54.2% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.