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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.60+3.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.01+1.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.94+0.69vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+1.23vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79+2.35vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.02-0.29vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.45-0.54vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.47+0.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-3.71vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.46-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Connecticut College0.6014.0%1st Place
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3.46Brown University1.0121.2%1st Place
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3.69Roger Williams University0.9418.6%1st Place
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5.23Boston University0.109.3%1st Place
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7.35Salve Regina University-0.792.8%1st Place
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5.71Northwestern University-0.027.7%1st Place
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6.46Princeton University-0.455.3%1st Place
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8.43Northwestern University-1.472.3%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.138.8%1st Place
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4.98Northeastern University0.4610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fritz Baldauf | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Sidney Moyer | 21.2% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Jakub Fuja | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Renato Korzinek | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
Sean Morrison | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 21.6% |
Cole Abbott | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
Berkley Yiu | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 10.1% |
Marguerite Eno | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 51.7% |
Robert Finora | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
Aidan Boni | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.