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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+2.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+1.75vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.21+2.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-2.92vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-6.20vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-5.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.67vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.04-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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5.08Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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4.8Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 13.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 7.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ann Sager | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.