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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+1.49vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.54+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.06+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.86+2.55vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.66+1.26vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.30vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.73+2.13vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.82-1.32vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-2.07+1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+1.44vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-2.02-0.90vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.32-0.94vs Predicted
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15Indiana University-2.05-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.84-5.39vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-3.56-1.96vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-3.42-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
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2.46North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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4.21University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Virginia0.060.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.26Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.13Embry-Riddle University-1.730.0%1st Place
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7.68Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.27The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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11.1Florida Institute of Technology-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.320.0%1st Place
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11.34Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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15.04William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
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14.77University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 31.9% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 32.6% | 27.8% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 9.5% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| William Avery | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 7.0% |
| Lara Sloep | 0.9% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Ian Knox | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 41.8% |
| Megan Miller | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 22.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.