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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+11.10vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+7.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+6.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+2.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+3.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16+5.18vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.19-2.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.45+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-0.76vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.85-1.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-0.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.42-9.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-4.04vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.49-2.32vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.79-8.86vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.99-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.1George Washington University1.072.1%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston1.263.8%1st Place
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9.86Boston College1.364.5%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.178.6%1st Place
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8.09Bowdoin College1.846.6%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University1.864.8%1st Place
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12.18University of Pennsylvania1.162.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University2.1913.6%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College1.453.4%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University1.733.8%1st Place
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9.24Brown University1.854.9%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University1.012.6%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.4220.2%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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13.68Roger Williams University0.491.3%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University1.795.8%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida0.992.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.2% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 26.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.