Race 10A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.6% 11.0% 10.5% 10.9% 12.0% 10.7% 8.2% 8.9% 6.8% 5.8% 3.1% 0.5%
Stephanie Hudson 12.1% 13.8% 12.0% 11.4% 11.5% 8.9% 8.6% 7.2% 7.7% 3.4% 2.9% 0.5%
Hanna Vincent 12.5% 9.5% 11.2% 11.1% 10.3% 10.7% 9.7% 9.8% 7.5% 4.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Chandler Salisbury 8.9% 9.5% 10.2% 10.9% 9.2% 8.9% 10.9% 10.4% 7.2% 7.4% 4.7% 1.8%
Haley Powell 7.0% 7.1% 8.4% 7.8% 8.7% 9.5% 8.1% 9.1% 10.8% 9.9% 9.7% 3.9%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.2% 6.6% 7.8% 6.5% 5.4% 9.6% 8.6% 11.9% 11.6% 12.2% 8.8% 3.8%
Natalie Salk 12.1% 13.7% 12.7% 10.6% 10.2% 10.0% 8.3% 6.5% 8.1% 4.1% 2.8% 0.9%
Morgan Russom 8.2% 6.4% 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 10.9% 8.4% 9.7% 12.7% 9.6% 4.7%
Erica Lush 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.9% 7.3% 4.7% 7.9% 7.6% 10.9% 15.9% 20.3% 11.3%
Claire Dennis 12.5% 13.3% 12.2% 10.5% 10.8% 10.1% 8.4% 8.4% 6.4% 4.4% 2.4% 0.6%
Lauren Cefali 4.4% 4.3% 4.1% 6.6% 5.0% 6.6% 8.5% 9.8% 9.8% 13.9% 18.0% 9.0%
Ann Sager 0.6% 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 2.0% 3.5% 6.2% 14.7% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.