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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+10.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+3.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.15vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93+2.57vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69+2.57vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.05+0.19vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+1.63vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93-1.40vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81+2.15vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-4.71vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.57-0.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.54-9.60vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.32-2.35vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.51-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.43-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.07Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.57Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.6Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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12.15Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.22Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.62SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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13.65Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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13.08Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.