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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.05+4.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.41vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+1.08vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+5.98vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69+1.54vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.12vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.57+3.83vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.08+1.11vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.32+2.68vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.43+2.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.37vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.51-2.09vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.93-8.32vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.39-7.15vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.93-10.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.08Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.98Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.54Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.83SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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11.11Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.68Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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11.23Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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12.91Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 8.7% |
| Asher Green | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Iain Shand | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 44.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.