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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+3.14vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.21+5.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+1.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+0.84vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-2.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-3.03vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.04+0.59vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-6.18vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.86vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-7.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.14Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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4.82Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 2.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.5% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Erica Lush | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 13.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ann Sager | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 60.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.