← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.93+6.92vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.08+9.31vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.64vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.05+3.21vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.69+3.63vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.07vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.93+0.73vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College1.10+2.89vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.45-3.20vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.35-3.55vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.99vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University1.08-0.61vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University0.32+0.59vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.81-2.22vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.39-5.23vs Predicted
-
16Washington College0.51-2.77vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia-0.43-1.26vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.92Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
11.31Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.64U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.21University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
-
8.63Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.73Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
10.89SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
5.8Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.45Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
11.39Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
13.59Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.78Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
9.77George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
13.23Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
-
15.74University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Asher Green | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Iain Shand | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 48.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.