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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+4.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.78vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+7.34vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+5.39vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93+2.34vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.24vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08+2.59vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.69-0.71vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.51+3.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.06vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.05-4.73vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.35-7.17vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.57-1.68vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.43+0.54vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-4.15vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.32-3.41vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.08-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.59Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.29Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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13.02Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.32SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.85Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.59Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.58Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 45.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Iain Shand | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.