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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.39+8.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.05+4.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+1.56vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.74vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93+1.41vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+3.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.26vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-3.12vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81+1.95vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51+1.89vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.97vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.08-2.43vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.08-3.55vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.57-2.40vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.69-7.58vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.32-3.50vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.43-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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5.56Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.88Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.95Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.89Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.57Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.45Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.6SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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13.5Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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15.38University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Asher Green | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Iain Shand | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 16.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.