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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+4.85vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.39+7.80vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.05+4.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.93+3.37vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.84vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.32+6.46vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35-3.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.54-4.47vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.24-0.76vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81+0.08vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-2.46vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.69-5.86vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.51-2.21vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.08-5.19vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.57-4.25vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.43-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.8George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.46Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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10.24Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.08Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.54Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.14Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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12.79Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.81Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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15.4University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Asher Green | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.