← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.05+6.19vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.69+6.64vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.50vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.45+1.56vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+5.67vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.350.00vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.34vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.24+2.05vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.39+0.50vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.98vs Predicted
-
11Washington College0.51+1.91vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University0.81+0.14vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University0.32+0.33vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.93-6.75vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University1.08-4.33vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.08-5.18vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia-0.43-1.39vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College0.57-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.19University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
-
8.64Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.56Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.0Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
10.05Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.5George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
12.91Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
-
12.14Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
13.33Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
-
7.25Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
10.67Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.82Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
15.61University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.48SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Honig | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 12.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
| Iain Shand | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Asher Green | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 47.1% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.