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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+5.23vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.93+5.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+5.43vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69+3.35vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+5.81vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24+3.17vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.45-2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.05-2.04vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.89vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.21vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.51+1.16vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-2.33vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.32-0.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.25vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.10-5.22vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.43-1.41vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.34-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.43George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.35Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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11.81Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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6.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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13.16Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.67Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.18Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.24Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 11.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Iain Shand | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 13.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 44.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.