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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.93+6.44vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+6.30vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35+3.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+1.39vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.47vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+5.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.54-1.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.35vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.79+2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.05-2.94vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.34+2.08vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24-1.90vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-3.89vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.32-1.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.54vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.10-5.60vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.51-4.45vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.43-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.3Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.39Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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11.43Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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11.48Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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13.08Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.11George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.8Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.4SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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12.55Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.6% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 24.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.