← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.45+4.18vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.23+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.50+2.04vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.51+0.97vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.86+1.72vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.92+0.64vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.48-2.06vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.86vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.21-0.65vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.36vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire1.04-2.24vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.81-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
5.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.04Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
4.97Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
-
6.64Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
4.94Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.35Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.76University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
-
6.93Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Haley Powell | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 11.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 8.4% |
| Ann Sager | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 64.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.