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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+4.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.93vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.69+4.88vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.43vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+5.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.57+5.94vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79+4.05vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.51+3.75vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.31vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.93-3.05vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.45-5.46vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24-2.53vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.34-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.05-7.26vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-5.54vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.32-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.43-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.88Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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5.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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10.87Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.94SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
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11.05Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.75Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.47Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.57Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.61Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 13.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Iain Shand | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.