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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+5.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+3.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+1.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+3.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+1.99vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.15+3.09vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-4.08vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.57-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.25-1.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.03vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.01-5.71vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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9.74Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.08Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.29North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| Olin Guck | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 24.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 22.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Adam Larson | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.