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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+7.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+2.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62+0.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-1.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-1.28vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University2.01-0.76vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-3.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.96vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.83-3.20vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01-4.94vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.25-3.05vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.57-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.24North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.0Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.8Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.06Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Olin Guck | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 25.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Mason Stang | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Adam Larson | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 23.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.