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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+4.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+7.10vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+5.36vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+7.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.83+3.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62+0.03vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-0.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-1.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.79-3.62vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-2.10vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-5.10vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.66-7.37vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.25-3.10vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.36Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.85Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.85Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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9.26North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Olin Guck | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 26.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Mason Stang | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 24.7% |
| Adam Larson | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.