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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+5.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+4.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+3.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66+1.79vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.15+5.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-3.65vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.94vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.83-1.21vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-3.11vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.01-3.88vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-7.25vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.57-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.25-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.27North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.06Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.79Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 28.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Mason Stang | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 11.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.