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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+5.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.42+5.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+3.04vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-0.45vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32+1.24vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+0.82vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.83+0.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.15+1.14vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.57-1.21vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.01-3.78vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.93vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.01-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.25-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.24Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.0%1st Place
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9.91Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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10.79Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.22North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.38Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Olin Guck | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 26.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.