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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+4.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+3.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+2.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79+1.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+1.14vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01+2.30vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-0.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.42-1.36vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.96vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.83-1.11vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01-2.76vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.25-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.15-2.69vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.95Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.64Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.0%1st Place
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9.89Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.24North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Cam Spriggs | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 22.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 27.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.