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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.01+8.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+3.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+3.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.42+2.77vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00-0.18vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.57+3.90vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.01+1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.08vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.81vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.15+1.11vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.83-2.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.87vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.87-7.93vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.25-3.00vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.79-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.43Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.1North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.92Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% |
| Adam Larson | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Olin Guck | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 26.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% |
| Robby Meek | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 22.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.