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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+4.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+4.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+2.29vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+3.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.42+1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.15+5.21vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+1.81vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.01+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66-3.05vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-1.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-3.05vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.79-6.60vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.57-3.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.25-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.29Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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9.81Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.18North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.25Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.5% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Olin Guck | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 28.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Adam Larson | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.