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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.83+8.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+3.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+2.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.42+3.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+0.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.15+4.40vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66-1.46vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.87-3.28vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.25+0.17vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.57-1.50vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.01-4.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.42vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.7Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.96North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 26.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Robby Meek | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 24.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.4% |
| Adam Larson | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.