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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+2.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.45+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+3.25vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03+2.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95-2.44vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.66+2.51vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.37+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.41+1.95vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.10-3.17vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.90-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.11-1.68vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.27-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Brown University1.3421.2%1st Place
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3.38Dartmouth College1.4519.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Vermont0.244.4%1st Place
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6.51Middlebury College0.034.8%1st Place
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2.56Dartmouth College1.9532.2%1st Place
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8.51Fairfield University-0.661.8%1st Place
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7.29University of New Hampshire-0.373.5%1st Place
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9.95University of New Hampshire-1.411.2%1st Place
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5.83University of New Hampshire0.105.5%1st Place
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9.25Williams College-0.901.6%1st Place
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9.32University of New Hampshire-1.111.4%1st Place
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9.63Bentley University-1.271.7%1st Place
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9.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.081.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 21.2% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 19.2% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 32.2% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 23.2% |
| Sam Harris | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.3% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| Kai Latham | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.