← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.92+5.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.51+2.96vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.50+2.05vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.48+1.01vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.86+1.72vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.79vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.55vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.21+0.28vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire1.04+1.68vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.45-4.92vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.81-3.97vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.23-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.68Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
4.96Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
5.05Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
5.01Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
-
5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.28Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
-
5.08Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.03Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.76Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.6% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 7.5% |
| Erica Lush | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 15.2% |
| Ann Sager | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 60.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.