Race 10A

boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robby Meek 11.3% 11.4% 11.3% 10.0% 8.5% 8.9% 6.3% 7.9% 7.9% 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 1.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Trevor Davis 8.9% 9.9% 9.2% 8.1% 9.1% 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 5.7% 8.4% 4.5% 5.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Aidan Hoogland 12.6% 13.2% 10.6% 10.3% 8.8% 9.7% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 2.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Adam Larson 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.1% 5.4% 7.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.3% 9.9% 7.2% 5.4%
Atlee Kohl 8.9% 8.5% 9.1% 6.9% 8.9% 7.9% 7.0% 9.2% 8.9% 7.0% 6.6% 3.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.5%
Mateo Di Blasi 10.3% 9.8% 8.5% 8.4% 11.7% 9.0% 9.4% 7.4% 6.5% 5.6% 4.4% 4.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Luke Zylinski 4.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 6.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.5% 8.4% 10.9% 9.7%
Sophia Devling 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 7.8% 5.0% 7.6% 8.5% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 8.0% 8.2% 5.9% 4.8% 1.7%
Cam Spriggs 6.2% 7.3% 6.9% 8.7% 8.4% 7.3% 7.6% 7.3% 9.3% 6.9% 8.0% 6.6% 4.5% 3.8% 1.2%
Lucas Thress 4.5% 3.4% 5.0% 6.3% 5.1% 5.5% 7.0% 7.0% 6.3% 8.4% 9.6% 9.1% 9.4% 7.6% 5.8%
Ethan Danielson 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 4.5% 4.0% 3.2% 5.4% 5.4% 6.7% 5.1% 7.7% 10.1% 11.4% 13.2% 14.5%
Mathias Reimer 3.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 6.2% 4.6% 6.1% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 10.6% 12.2% 8.5%
Colleen O'Brien 12.1% 12.0% 11.7% 9.8% 9.1% 9.9% 8.7% 7.0% 7.1% 4.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Charlie Herrick 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.9% 6.1% 6.1% 8.3% 13.0% 15.0% 22.9%
Olin Guck 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 10.3% 16.5% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.