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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+7.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+6.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+4.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+2.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.44+1.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.15vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.55-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27-1.00vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+0.69vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34-3.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.69vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-1.91vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.98-4.83vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-0.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.24-7.68vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.45-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.29Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.96Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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10.09North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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13.26Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 35.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 21.1% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.