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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+5.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.79+6.82vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+6.32vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+2.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.55+0.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.44-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.24-0.85vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-2.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-1.66vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-1.35vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-1.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-4.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.34-7.27vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.45-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.08North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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6.73Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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13.28Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alex Adams | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 37.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.