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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+7.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+4.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+4.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.55+2.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.79+3.93vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.34+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27+0.30vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.24-1.83vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.18vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-4.78vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-1.89vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-4.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.82vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.45-1.71vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.5Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.93Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.11North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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13.29Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Peter Busch | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 20.0% | 37.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.