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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.55+5.03vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+7.20vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+10.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+5.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.24+1.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+0.14vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44-1.61vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.31+1.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-1.72vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.34-4.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-3.10vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.45+0.12vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-7.00vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.19vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.55-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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9.05Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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10.52North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.86Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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13.12Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 19.5% | 36.5% |
| Alex Adams | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Peter Busch | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 33.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.