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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+5.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24+3.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.550.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-2.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.79+0.63vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-2.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-3.04vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.34-5.03vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43-0.36vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.45-1.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.49Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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8.63Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.64University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.47Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Busch | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.5% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 21.4% | 40.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 21.2% | 36.7% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.