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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+7.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+6.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+3.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+3.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.24+1.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-2.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.34-1.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-2.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-1.29vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-4.90vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-5.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.45-1.50vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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4.5Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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12.5Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.5% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 5.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 19.5% | 38.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 20.0% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.