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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+3.33vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+2.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.24+2.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55-0.03vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+2.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05-3.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.45+2.51vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43+1.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-3.16vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-6.08vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-5.44vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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12.51Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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6.92Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.56Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Peter Busch | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 38.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 20.1% | 39.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.