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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+4.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.79vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+1.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+3.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.79+2.67vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.44-0.64vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30-1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.58vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.45+1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-4.80vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-6.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-5.46vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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9.42Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.49Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 16.8% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Alex Adams | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Peter Busch | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 38.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 21.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.