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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+4.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+4.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+1.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-0.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92-0.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-3.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-3.98vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.35vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.04-2.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.76University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 7.9% |
| Ann Sager | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 64.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.