← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.30+5.79vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.05+2.40vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.79+5.52vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.30+2.85vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+3.64vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.02vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.44-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.98-0.05vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.24-2.02vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College0.45+2.56vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.57-1.63vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.55-5.78vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami2.27-5.74vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.34-7.32vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.43-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.79Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.4Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
-
8.52Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
-
9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
-
6.32Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.95Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
-
12.56Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
-
9.37Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.22Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.26University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
6.68Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
12.45University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Peter Busch | 10.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 20.7% | 38.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 21.0% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.