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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+5.86vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+6.19vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+2.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+3.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+1.20vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40-0.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66+1.30vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.81-0.43vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.86-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.75-3.12vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.25-2.29vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.99-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.53-1.97vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.34-2.26vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.37-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.19North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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12.74Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.65Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Andy Yu | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Max Sigel | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 20.7% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 29.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.