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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.44+4.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+4.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+5.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86+2.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+1.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+0.42vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-1.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-3.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.25-0.22vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-2.77vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.81-4.27vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.99-2.40vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.34-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.53-2.80vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.37-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.16Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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8.23North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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10.6Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.57Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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12.64Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Max Sigel | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Andy Yu | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 27.3% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.