Race 3C

boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lauren Ehnot 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.9% 7.1% 6.7% 6.6% 7.1% 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3%
Drew Mastovsky 12.8% 11.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.1% 8.1% 9.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.3% 4.0% 3.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Christine Reimer 4.1% 4.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 7.0% 9.0% 7.7% 10.4% 10.1% 7.5% 5.1%
Jack Redmond 9.5% 10.8% 8.8% 8.5% 8.3% 10.3% 8.2% 6.9% 6.3% 5.8% 4.3% 6.6% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Katherine McNamara 6.9% 8.6% 7.6% 8.3% 9.7% 8.2% 8.0% 6.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.0% 5.8% 4.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Wyatt Bischoff 4.7% 5.9% 5.5% 8.1% 6.8% 6.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.7% 5.6% 4.7% 2.3%
Andy Yu 7.5% 8.6% 7.4% 6.4% 8.9% 7.4% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 7.4% 8.3% 6.2% 4.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Olivia Sowa 5.6% 6.2% 6.7% 6.3% 6.1% 5.5% 7.6% 7.6% 6.4% 7.1% 8.9% 7.5% 7.5% 5.3% 4.2% 1.5%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 1.7% 2.6% 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 7.5% 9.3% 11.5% 18.3% 20.9%
Bradley Whiteway 7.4% 6.9% 7.4% 6.6% 6.4% 8.9% 7.4% 7.9% 8.9% 9.3% 6.4% 4.2% 6.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Steven Hardee 8.2% 6.4% 6.7% 7.5% 7.2% 7.1% 6.5% 7.4% 8.1% 7.3% 8.0% 6.2% 5.8% 4.6% 2.5% 0.5%
Peter Barnard 12.8% 10.6% 13.3% 10.1% 8.9% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1% 6.4% 5.5% 3.6% 2.9% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Matthew Cabot 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 3.6% 2.8% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 12.3% 18.1% 28.0%
Max Sigel 6.6% 5.7% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 7.7% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 5.7% 7.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.1%
Lizzie Cochran 3.1% 2.6% 3.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 8.1% 10.6% 11.5% 14.4% 9.1%
Beck Lorsch 1.5% 1.1% 2.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 7.0% 7.6% 12.1% 18.0% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.