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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+6.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+4.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+1.73vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+1.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+0.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.34+5.55vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.65+0.06vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.44-3.58vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.99+0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.87vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.25-2.39vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.81-5.41vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.37-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.33-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.53-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.55Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.06North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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12.37Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Bischoff | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Andy Yu | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 29.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 24.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.