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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+5.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.40vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.25+5.61vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.81+2.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.53+4.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.44-2.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.13-3.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-2.55vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.33-3.90vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.10-1.07vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.37-2.62vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.99-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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5.16Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.97North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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12.93Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.38Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 19.4% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 32.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 24.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.