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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+4.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.25+7.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+2.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.44+1.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+3.67vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.81+1.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.13-0.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.75-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.86-2.67vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.37+1.31vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-3.91vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.10+0.06vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.93vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.99-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.53-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.48Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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12.31Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.09North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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13.06Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 14.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 24.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 33.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.