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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+4.63vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.44+1.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+1.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.13+0.38vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+1.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.37+4.12vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.10+3.83vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.86-2.75vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.81-3.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.69vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.99-3.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.88vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.25-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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5.4Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.0North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.12Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.83Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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13.69University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Simpson | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 25.4% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 41.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.