Race 1B

central-unh

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Sullivan 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 9.6% 10.3% 10.7% 9.8% 11.2% 10.6% 8.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Brett Tardie 4.2% 4.5% 3.4% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 10.4% 11.2% 13.2% 12.6% 9.3% 5.7%
Zachary Amelotte 14.0% 15.0% 14.0% 14.3% 11.9% 10.7% 7.8% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Hanrahan 14.8% 13.9% 15.4% 14.4% 12.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Hurwitz 24.6% 21.8% 16.3% 13.4% 9.0% 7.1% 3.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William DeLong 5.8% 6.6% 8.6% 7.7% 8.9% 10.7% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 8.6% 5.8% 4.2% 0.9%
Jean-Luc Depardieu 12.9% 12.3% 14.4% 12.2% 12.6% 11.0% 9.1% 7.0% 5.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 12.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5%
Sonja Krajewski 4.1% 5.3% 4.9% 5.8% 7.0% 8.4% 9.3% 11.2% 12.3% 11.8% 10.3% 6.8% 2.6%
Morgan Melo 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 4.9% 5.9% 9.0% 13.3% 20.3% 31.6%
Clare Rados 2.8% 2.9% 2.3% 3.0% 5.1% 3.8% 6.5% 6.9% 8.8% 11.5% 17.8% 16.0% 12.6%
Charles Maier 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 4.9% 7.6% 9.1% 10.3% 13.2% 13.6% 15.2% 10.0%
Devon Valenta 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 3.1% 4.4% 6.0% 8.0% 12.4% 21.2% 34.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.