Race 15A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Claire Dennis 11.5% 12.1% 11.6% 10.5% 12.6% 9.0% 11.2% 6.4% 6.6% 4.8% 3.0% 0.7%
Stephanie Hudson 12.7% 13.4% 10.6% 11.2% 9.6% 11.6% 9.0% 7.9% 7.1% 4.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Natalie Salk 13.6% 10.3% 11.6% 11.7% 10.1% 10.1% 9.9% 8.4% 6.2% 5.3% 2.4% 0.4%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 7.9% 9.2% 9.7% 11.2% 8.5% 9.5% 11.7% 4.2%
Hanna Vincent 11.8% 11.7% 10.7% 11.4% 10.0% 9.7% 8.5% 9.0% 7.2% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1%
Haley Powell 6.5% 8.7% 7.1% 6.1% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% 10.3% 10.5% 11.5% 9.3% 3.0%
Morgan Russom 6.4% 7.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 9.7% 12.3% 9.5% 12.1% 3.3%
Chandler Salisbury 11.0% 10.7% 9.7% 9.1% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 9.5% 8.4% 7.1% 4.9% 1.5%
Emily Dellenbaugh 11.4% 11.3% 15.9% 10.5% 11.6% 9.3% 7.6% 8.8% 7.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Ann Sager 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 3.0% 4.6% 7.4% 13.0% 60.8%
Erica Lush 3.5% 2.1% 3.7% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 9.2% 16.0% 20.6% 15.6%
Lauren Cefali 4.7% 4.8% 3.2% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.3% 12.2% 14.3% 16.2% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.